Pending Home Sales Down Again Due To Low Inventory, But New Homes Are Coming

Pending home sales in the United States declined for the eighth straight month in February, according to the latest index from the National Association of Realtors.

The data reveals that modest increases in the Midwest and West were offset by declines in the Northeast and South and all regions are below a year ago.

The Pending Home Sales Index, a forward looking indicator based on contract signings, dipped 0.8% to 93.9 from a downwardly revised 94.7 in January, and is 10.5% below February 2013 when it was 104.9. The February reading was the lowest since October 2011, when it was 92.2.

However, Lawrence Yun, NAR chief economist, said the recent slowdown in home sales may be at an end while home prices continue to rise. ‘Contract signings for the past three months have been little changed, implying the market appears to be stabilising,’ he said.

‘Moreover, buyer traffic information from our monthly Realtor survey shows a modest turnaround, and some weather delayed transactions should close in the spring,’ he added.

The PHSI in the Northeast declined 2.4% to 77.1 in February, and is 7.4% below a year ago. In the Midwest the index rose 2.8% to 95.3 in February, but is 8.5% lower than February 2013.

Pending home sales in the South fell 4% to an index of 106.3 in February, and are 9.3% below a year ago. The index in the West increased 2.3% in February to 86.1, but is 16.5% below February 2013.

Total existing home sales are forecast at five million this year, just below the nearly 5.1 million in 2013. Housing starts are projected to rise almost 19% in 2014, and reach about 1.1 million, closer to the underlying demand of 1.5 million.

Yun added that the gain in new home construction will reduce some of the pressure on home prices, with the national median existing home price expected to rise in the range of 5.5 to 6% this year, compared with an 11.5% jump in 2013.

This article was republished with permission from Property Wire.

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